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Home Featured News

Federal Reserve rate cut expected to influence Bitcoin’s trajectory

December 18, 2024
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Bitcoin’s historic rally paused after the cryptocurrency surpassed $108,000 for the first time, reflecting a mix of cautious optimism among traders as they anticipate key signals from the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting. The leading digital asset reached $108,315 on Tuesday but retreated to $104,775 by early Wednesday in New York trading, according to CoinGecko. The broader cryptocurrency market briefly neared a valuation of $4 trillion during the surge.

Federal Reserve rate cut expected to influence Bitcoin’s trajectory

Investor sentiment has been buoyed by President-elect Donald Trump’s outspoken support for cryptocurrencies, including his endorsement of a potential strategic Bitcoin reserve for the United States. Trump’s pro-crypto stance, coupled with promises of regulatory reforms aimed at cementing U.S. dominance in the digital asset space, has driven market enthusiasm. Adding to the positive outlook is MicroStrategy Inc.‘s imminent inclusion in the Nasdaq 100 Index, a move expected to enhance the appeal of the company, which has heavily invested in Bitcoin.

Market attention now shifts to the Federal Reserve, which is expected to announce a quarter-point interest rate cut on Wednesday. However, the longer-term policy trajectory remains uncertain given robust U.S. economic growth and potential inflationary pressures tied to Trump’s broader economic agenda. Analysts at K33 Research, including Vetle Lunde and David Zimmerman, anticipate heightened volatility around the Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) decision, with quieter macroeconomic conditions in the following weeks potentially paving the way for renewed Bitcoin momentum.

Bitcoin has surged over 55% since Trump’s electoral victory on November 5, with significant inflows into U.S. exchange-traded funds linked to the cryptocurrency. This rally persists despite long-standing concerns over Bitcoin’s price volatility and lack of traditional valuation benchmarks. On the Deribit options exchange, a major hub for crypto derivatives, traders are placing significant bullish bets, with the highest open interest at the $120,000 strike price.

While optimism abounds, some analysts urge caution. Tony Sycamore, a market analyst at IG Australia Pty, highlighted Bitcoin’s recent intraday price fluctuations, which saw the token retreat to around $106,000 despite hitting an all-time high earlier in the session. Such volatility, he noted, underscores the risks associated with pursuing Bitcoin at these elevated levels.

As the crypto sector navigates this pivotal moment, market participants will closely monitor developments from the Federal Reserve and any regulatory signals from the incoming Trump administration. The interplay of these factors is likely to shape Bitcoin’s trajectory as the year draws to a close. – By CryptoWire News Desk

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